Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forward Madison		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.38	3.4	2.02
	3.32	3.47	2.01	Watch
	3.07	3.33	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.8)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	2.15 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
29.4%

Draw
27.6%

Indy Eleven
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Forward Madison - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 2. Chilaka M. 4. Osmond M. 16. Crull J. 25. Sousa F. 6. Murphy J. 21. Carrera J. 77. Brown N. 17. Gebhard D. 24. Bartman N. 19. Galindrez J.	98. Sulte H. (G) 33. White H. 30. Ofeimu B. 41. Musa J. 27. Rendon B. 5. Murphy J. 14. Quinn A. (C) 16. Stanley A. 99. Foster M. 19. Kizza E. 8. Blake J.
Substitutes
26. Binns R. 8. Boyce D. 11. Garcia C. 18. Graffin A. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 5. Mehl T. 10. Mesias A. 3. Viader D.	22. Amoh E. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 18. Collier E. 3. Hogan P. 6. Lindley C. 4. McRobb F. 2. O'Brien J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Rendon B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', Murphy J. 🟨,
57', Rendon B. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
57', Kizza E. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
59', Murphy J. 🟨,
60', White H. 🟨,
67', Galindrez J. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
67', Bartman N. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
68', Brown N. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Quinn A. ⚽,
70', Sousa F. 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Blake J. ⚽,
76', Sousa F. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
80', Murphy J. ↓, Graffin A. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Amoh E. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 4, Amoh E. ⚽,
90+3', Foster M. ↓, Lindley C. ↑,
90+3', Musa J. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Forward Madison could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Indy have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
19.04.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Forward Madison - Tulsa	1:3 ✺
USL League One
29.03.25	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
20.03.25	Forward Madison - Duluth	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLWW
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
19.04.25	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Indy Eleven - Miami	1:0 ET ✺
USL Championship
05.04.25	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Indy Eleven - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Lexington - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLT

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