Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 14

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Francana		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.92	2.12
	3.45	2.88	2.13
	3.45	2.95	2.16
	3.4	2.75	2.15
	3.5	2.89	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.19)	2.88 ↓ (3.17)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
26.3%

Draw
31.4%

Rio Claro
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

28.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+1%)

Francana - Rio Claro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Dudu Pedrotti ⚽,
31', 🟥,
45+1', 2 - 0, Vitor G. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Vitor G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Francana has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rio Claro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rio Claro might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.03.26	União São João - Francana	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Francana	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Francana - Rio Preto	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Paulista - Francana	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.03.26	Rio Claro - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Rio Claro - Bandeirante	2:3 ✺
04.03.26	Marília - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rio Claro - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Itapirense - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWT

Francana - Rio Claro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide