Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Frosinone		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.73
	4.7	3.95	1.7
	4.7	4.05	1.79
	4.66	4.06	1.76
	4.33	4	1.73
	4.56	4.1	1.81	Watch
	4.25	4.05	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↓ (5.18)	4.01 ↓ (4.54)	1.75 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
21.2%

Draw
23.9%

Inter Milan
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

20.9%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

20.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	12.7%	69.1%

Frosinone - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). Inter will win (votes: 36 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 56.7% – 81.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 20. Lirola P. 5. Okoli C. 33. Bonifazi K. 19. Zortea N. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 4. Brescianini M. 32. Valeri E. 18. Soule M. 12. Reinier 70. Cheddira W.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 6. de Vrij S. 30. Carlos Augusto 36. Darmian M. 16. Frattesi D. 21. Asllani K. 23. Barella N. (C) 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 8. Arnautovic M.
Substitutes
7. Baez J. 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 14. Gelli F. 29. Ghedjemis F. 21. Harroui A. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Kaio Jorge 17. Kvernadze G. 3. Marchizza R. 30. Monterisi I. 37. Palmisani L. (G) 8. Seck D.	77. Audero E. (G) 95. Bastoni A. 17. Buchanan T. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Cuadrado J. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 2. Dumfries D. 14. Klaassen D. 10. Martinez La. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 28. Pavard B. 70. Sanchez A. 5. Sensi S.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Frattesi D. ⚽,
38', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Darmian M. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Arnautovic M. ⚽, Frattesi D. (A),
64', Frattesi D. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
64', Arnautovic M. ↓, Martinez La. ↑,
71', Reinier ↓, Kaio Jorge ↑,
71', Lirola P. ↓, Harroui A. ↑,
72', Dimarco F. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
75', Barella N. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Buchanan T. ⚽, Sensi S. (A),
80', 0 - 4, Martinez La. ⚽,
82', Okoli C. ↓, Monterisi I. ↑,
82', Cheddira W. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
84', 0 - 5, Thuram M. ⚽, Martinez La. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Group Stage )

Recent matches Frosinone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Inter is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Inter is a favorite.

There will not play in Frosinone: Barrenechea E. (Yellow Cards) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Oyono A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Kalaj S. (Injury) Turati S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Acerbi F. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
05.05.24	Empoli - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Frosinone - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Torino - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Napoli - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Frosinone - Bologna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWTTT
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
04.05.24	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Inter Milan - Torino	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Milan - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Inter Milan - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
08.04.24	Udinese - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.11.23	Inter Milan - Frosinone	2:0
14.04.19	Frosinone - Inter Milan	1:3
24.11.18	Inter Milan - Frosinone	3:0
09.04.16	Frosinone - Inter Milan	0:1
22.11.15	Inter Milan - Frosinone	4:0

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