Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Benin	Benin TV
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 7, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Iceland	SÝN, SÝN Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	FOX One
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	NTA Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Senegal	RTS 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Aston Villa		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.75	3.65	5.05
	1.78	3.7	5.2
	1.75	3.78	5.13	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.78	3.66	5.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)	3.67 ↓ (3.97)	5.05 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
54.8%

Draw
26.2%

Sunderland
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.2%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.9%	9.7%	8.3%

Aston Villa - Sunderland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (58 of 71 users predict this - 81.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 90.69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 5. Mings T. 22. Maatsen I. 24. Onana A. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 6. Barkley R. 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.	22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 13. O'Nien L. 15. Alderete O. 17. Mandava R. 27. Sadiki N. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 11. Rigg C. 19. Diarra H. 28. Le Fee E. 9. Brobbey B.
Substitutes
18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 12. Digne L. 21. Douglas Luiz 3. Lindelof V. 19. Sancho J.	5. Ballard D. 3. Cirkin D. 31. Ellborg M. (G) 6. Geertruida L. 32. Hume T. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 12. Mayenda E. 7. Talbi C.
Coaches
Emery U.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Watkins O. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Rigg C. ⚽, Sadiki N. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Watkins O. ⚽, Maatsen I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 3 - 1, Rogers M. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
63', Alderete O. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
63', Mandava R. ↓, Hume T. ↑,
63', Rigg C. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
66', Sadiki N. 🟨,
70', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
70', Barkley R. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
80', McGinn J. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
80', Watkins O. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
84', Brobbey B. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Hume T. ⚽,
87', 3 - 3, Isidor W. ⚽, Le Fee E. (A),
90+3', 4 - 3, Abraham T. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
90+5', Mukiele N. 🟨,
90+8', Onana A. 🟨,
90+8', Ballard D. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.

Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sunderland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Kamara B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Angulo N. (Muscle Injury) Bi J. T. (Ankle Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Ballard D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.7% Sunderland: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4:9	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.87%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Aston Villa - Bologna	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Bologna - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Aston Villa - Elche	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.03.26	Aston Villa - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLW
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
12.04.26	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Newcastle United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Port Vale - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
21.09.25	Sunderland - Aston Villa	1:1
English League Championship
06.03.18	Sunderland - Aston Villa	0:3
21.11.17	Aston Villa - Sunderland	2:1
English Premier League
02.01.16	Sunderland - Aston Villa	3:1
29.08.15	Aston Villa - Sunderland	2:2
14.03.15	Sunderland - Aston Villa	0:4
28.12.14	Aston Villa - Sunderland	0:0

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