Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, RTBF Tipik
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport 2
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	04:00	Wowow Live
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2, TVM Sport+
Mauritius	23:00	MBC 11
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, Tubi TV
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	JOJ Sport
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
International	19:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Bologna		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	2
	4.05	3.45	2.02
	4.09	3.39	2.04
	4.12	3.4	2.03	Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.95
	4.23	3.46	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.18)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	2 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bologna
23.7%

Draw
28.4%

Aston Villa
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	12.3%	79.5%

Bologna - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 7%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 58 - 81.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 72.7% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 17. Joao Mario 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 8. Freuler R. 4. Pobega T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 9. Castro S. 11. Rowe J.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 73. Castaldo F. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 23. Sohm S. 20. Zortea N.	18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 21. Douglas Luiz 9. Elliott H. 16. Garcia A. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T. 64. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Lucumi J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Konsa E. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
65', Pobega T. 🟨,
67', Ferguson L. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
67', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
80', Onana A. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
82', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
85', Rogers M. 🟨,
88', Rogers M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
88', Buendia E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
90', Freuler R. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Watkins O. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Bologna is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Dallinga T. (Injury) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Dominguez B. (Hip Injury) Fauske Helland E. (Inactive) Lykogiannis C. (Thigh Injury) Skorupski L. (Muscle Injury) Vitik M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Inactive) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) Sancho J. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.71%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
05.04.26	Cremonese - Bologna	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Roma - Bologna	3:4 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Sassuolo - Bologna	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWT
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Aston Villa - Elche	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.03.26	Aston Villa - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Aston Villa - Lille	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Aston Villa - Bologna	1:0
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Aston Villa - Bologna	2:0

Upcoming Matches