Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, RTBF Tipik
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Live
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2, TVM Sport+
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4, Tubi TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	JOJ Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Bologna		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	2
	4.05	3.45	2.02
	4.09	3.39	2.04
	4.12	3.4	2.03	Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.95
	4.23	3.46	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.18)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	2 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bologna
23.7%

Draw
28.4%

Aston Villa
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	12.3%	79.5%

Bologna - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 7%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 58 - 81.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 72.7% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 17. Joao Mario 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 8. Freuler R. 4. Pobega T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 9. Castro S. 11. Rowe J.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 24. Onana A. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 73. Castaldo F. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 23. Sohm S. 20. Zortea N.	18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 21. Douglas Luiz 9. Elliott H. 16. Garcia A. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T. 64. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Lucumi J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Konsa E. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
65', Pobega T. 🟨,
67', Ferguson L. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
67', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
80', Onana A. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
82', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
85', Rogers M. 🟨,
88', Rogers M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
88', Buendia E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
90', Freuler R. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Watkins O. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Bologna is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Dallinga T. (Injury) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Dominguez B. (Hip Injury) Fauske Helland E. (Inactive) Lykogiannis C. (Thigh Injury) Skorupski L. (Muscle Injury) Vitik M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Inactive) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) Sancho J. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.71%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
05.04.26	Cremonese - Bologna	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Roma - Bologna	3:4 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Sassuolo - Bologna	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWT
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Aston Villa - Elche	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.03.26	Aston Villa - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Aston Villa - Lille	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Aston Villa - Bologna	1:0
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Aston Villa - Bologna	2:0

Upcoming Matches