Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

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	Fulham		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.75
	1.55	4.5	5.25
	1.55	4.45	5.4
	1.6	4.3	4.79
	1.55	4.58	5.44
	1.53	4	5
	1.59	4.45	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.56)	4.37 ↑ (4.2)	5.16 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
60.2%

Draw
21.5%

Southampton
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

21.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Fulham - Southampton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fulham will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lecomte B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. 15. Cuenca J. 30. Sessegnon R. 6. Reed H. 10. Cairney T. (C) 14. Bobb O. 32. Smith Rowe E. 19. Chukwueze S. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	41. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. (C) 15. Wood N. 3. Manning R. 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 18. Fellows T. 10. Azaz F. 13. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.
Substitutes
3. Bassey C. 16. Berge S. 17. Iwobi A. 7. Jimenez R. 24. King J. 1. Leno B. (G) 20. Lukic S. 33. Robinson A. 2. Tete K.	19. Archer C. 48. Bragg C. 23. Edozie S. 38. Jelert E. 25. Long G. (G) 27. Matsuki K. 17. Quarshie J. 28. Romeu O. 11. Stewart R.
Coaches
Silva M.	Eckert T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Cuenca J. 🟨,
64', Cairney T. ↓, Iwobi A. ↑,
72', Jander C. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
72', Larin C. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
74', Downes F. 🟨,
82', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
82', Fellows T. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
89', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Stewart R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Reed H. ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
90+4', Azaz F. 🟨,
90+6', Matsuki K. 🟨,
90+8', Chukwueze S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 3.

Recent performances by Fulham have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

S`hampton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

S`hampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fulham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fulham: Kevin (Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Welington (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Kusi Asare J. (Injury) Wilson H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Robinson J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Fulham: 1.6% Southampton: 0.51%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
04.03.26	Fulham - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Stoke City - Fulham	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Manchester City - Fulham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
28.02.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Southampton	1:3 ✺
24.02.26	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	5:0 ✺
21.02.26	Southampton - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Southampton - Leicester City	2:1 ET ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Leicester City - Southampton	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
26.04.25	Southampton - Fulham	1:2
22.12.24	Fulham - Southampton	0:0
13.05.23	Southampton - Fulham	0:2
31.12.22	Fulham - Southampton	2:1
15.05.21	Southampton - Fulham	3:1
26.12.20	Fulham - Southampton	0:0
English League Cup
27.08.19	Fulham - Southampton	0:1

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