Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Aston Villa		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	3.7
	1.79	3.75	3.91
	1.66	4.14	4.41	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.76	3.91	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	3.97 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
52.8%

Draw
24.1%

Elche
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

23.9%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

22.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Aston Villa - Elche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bizot M. (G) 18. Abraham T. 6. Barkley R. 10. Buendia E. 21. Douglas Luiz 9. Elliott H. 16. Garcia A. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T. (C) 19. Sancho J. 14. Torres P.	13. Pena I. (G) 6. Bigas P. 42. Buba Sangare 17. Josan 10. Mir R. 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 7. Santiago Y. 12. Villar G.
Substitutes
63. Asemota O. (G) 90. Burgess W. 71. Carroll T. 94. Jenner M. 79. Kone M. 74. Lynch L. 30. Madjo B. 72. McWilliams A. 58. Mosquera Y. 68. Mulley T. 11. Watkins O. 64. Wright J. (G)	8. Aguado M. 1. Dituro M. (G) 14. Febas A. 30. Gilabert J. 43. Herraiz A. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 20. Rodriguez A. 26. Sina B. 15. Tete Morente 11. Valera G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Torres P. ⚽,
41', Sancho J. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Redondo Solari F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mir R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
46', Bigas P. ↓, Gilabert J. ↑,
58', Buendia E. 🟨,
59', Petrot L. 🟨,
62', Abraham T. ↓, Madjo B. ↑,
62', Mings T. ↓, Carroll T. ↑,
67', Josan ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
67', Pena I. ↓, Iturbe A. ↑,
67', Petrot L. ↓, Sina B. ↑,
75', Pedrosa A. ↓, Valera G. ↑,
75', Buba Sangare ↓, Herraiz A. ↑,
76', Bizot M. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
76', Garcia A. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
76', Barkley R. ↓, McWilliams A. ↑,
81', Villar G. ↓, Febas A. ↑,
81', Neto M. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
86', Maatsen I. ↓, Burgess W. ↑,
86', Buendia E. ↓, Lynch L. ↑,
86', Douglas Luiz ↓, Jenner M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent performances by Aston Villa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elche has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.21%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
22.03.26	Aston Villa - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Aston Villa - Lille	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Aston Villa - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Elche - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Real Madrid - Elche	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Elche - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTL

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