Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fulham		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.75
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.52	4.45	6.3
	1.56	4.4	6.4
	1.53	4.41	6.21	Watch
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.56	4.41	6.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)	4.33 ↑ (4.23)	6.04 ↓ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
62.2%

Draw
22%

Burnley
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Burnley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Fulham - Burnley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. (C) 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. 16. Berge S. 17. Iwobi A. 8. Wilson H. 24. King J. 14. Bobb O. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 5. Esteve M. 12. Humphreys B. 3. Hartman Q. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 29. Laurent J. 9. Foster L. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 19. Chukwueze S. 31. Diop I. 7. Jimenez R. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 20. Lukic S. 6. Reed H. 30. Sessegnon R. 32. Smith Rowe E.	35. Barnes A. 27. Broja A. 10. Edwards M. 18. Ekdal H. 16. Florentino 17. Tchaouna L. 8. Ugochukwu L. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Silva M.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Mejbri H. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
37', Laurent J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', Robinson A. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
61', Robinson A. ↓, Sessegnon R. ↑,
62', Bobb O. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
64', Ward-Prowse J. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, King J. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Wilson H. ⚽, King J. (A),
78', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
78', Foster L. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
82', King J. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
82', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
87', Walker K. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
87', Wilson H. ↓, Reed H. ↑,
90+3', Iwobi A. 🟨,
90+3', Laurent J. 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 1, Jimenez R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 1.

Fulham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burnley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fulham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fulham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fulham: Kevin (Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Fulham: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5:8	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
15.03.26	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Fulham - Southampton	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Fulham - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLWW
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
14.03.26	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Everton - Burnley	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Burnley - Brentford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Chelsea - Burnley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Burnley - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3
03.02.24	Burnley - Fulham	2:2
23.12.23	Fulham - Burnley	0:2
10.05.21	Fulham - Burnley	0:2
17.02.21	Burnley - Fulham	1:1
English FA Cup
24.01.21	Fulham - Burnley	0:3
English Premier League
12.01.19	Burnley - Fulham	2:1

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