Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fulham		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.62
	5	4.15	1.65
	5.2	4.2	1.66
	4.83	4.22	1.66	Watch
	4.8	4	1.65
	5.21	4.31	1.69	Watch
	5	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (5)	4.15 ↑ (4.05)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
19.1%

Draw
23%

Manchester City
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.1%	14.1%	71.8%

Fulham - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 11 - 14.1%). Man City will win (votes: 56 - 71.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 61.8% – 81.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Fulham (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Man City (votes: 25 - 78.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. (C) 3. Bassey C. 30. Sessegnon R. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 17. Iwobi A. 7. Jimenez R.	25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. 24. Gvardiol J. 33. O'Reilly N. 4. Reijnders T. 14. Nico 20. Silva B. (C) 47. Foden P. 9. Haaland E. 11. Doku J.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 19. Chukwueze S. 15. Cuenca J. 22. Kevin 24. King J. 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H.	21. Ait Nouri R. 6. Ake N. 10. Cherki R. 45. Khusanov A. 82. Lewis R. 7. Marmoush O. 26. Savinho 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)
Coaches
Silva M.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Reijnders T. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),
44', 0 - 3, Foden P. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, Smith Rowe E. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Tete K. ↓, Castagne T. ↑,
46', Lukic S. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
48', 1 - 4, Foden P. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),
54', 1 - 5, Berge S. (Own goal),
57', 2 - 5, Iwobi A. ⚽,
64', Doku J. ↓, Savinho ↑,
64', Nico ↓, Stones J. ↑,
72', 3 - 5, Chukwueze S. ⚽,
73', Jimenez R. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
74', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
78', 4 - 5, Chukwueze S. ⚽,
82', Wilson H. ↓, Kevin ↑,
82', Reijnders T. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
90+5', Cherki R. 🟨,
90+7', Foden P. ↓, Ake N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 0.

Fulham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Man City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fulham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Man City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Man City is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fulham: Robinson A. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Muniz (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Rodri (Thigh Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 9:54. (average 0.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:19. (average 0.6:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester City - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
29.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Fulham - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Everton - Fulham	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Fulham	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW
- Manchester City
English Premier League
29.11.25	Manchester City - Leeds United	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Newcastle United - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Manchester City - Liverpool	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.05.25	Fulham - Manchester City	0:2
05.10.24	Manchester City - Fulham	3:2
11.05.24	Fulham - Manchester City	0:4
02.09.23	Manchester City - Fulham	5:1
30.04.23	Fulham - Manchester City	1:2
05.11.22	Manchester City - Fulham	2:1
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Manchester City - Fulham	4:1

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