Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q League Asia, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 2
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	22:00	5 STARS Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena, TV8
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2, RTK 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
Moldova	22:00	Jurnal TV
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Football Plus
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	06:00	TVWan Sports
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2, RTS 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Voyo
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus


	Manchester City		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	6.5
	1.4	5.25	7.5
	1.41	5.23	7.3
	1.42	5.15	6.46	Watch
	1.45	5.21	7.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	5.22 ↑ (5.15)	7.05 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
67.9%

Draw
18.4%

Borussia Dortmund
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

17.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	19%	8.6%

Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 42 - 72.4%). Borussia D will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 60.9% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Man City (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Borussia D (60.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

1X2, 2nd Half - Man City (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Borussia D (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 5. Stones J. 24. Gvardiol J. 33. O'Reilly N. 14. Nico 26. Savinho 4. Reijnders T. 47. Foden P. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E. (C)	1. Kobel G. (G) 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 5. Bensebaini R. 26. Ryerson J. 8. Nmecha F. 20. Sabitzer M. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 14. Beier M. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
21. Ait Nouri R. 6. Ake N. 13. Bettinelli M. (G) 52. Bobb O. 10. Cherki R. 3. Dias R. 45. Khusanov A. 82. Lewis R. 7. Marmoush O. 20. Silva B. 1. Trafford J. (G)	28. Anselmino A. 7. Bellingham J. 23. Can E. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 13. Gross P. 33. Meyer A. (G) 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 21. Silva F.
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Svensson D. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Foden P. ⚽, Reijnders T. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 3 - 0, Foden P. ⚽, Reijnders T. (A),
66', Sabitzer M. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
66', Guirassy S. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
66', Bensebaini R. ↓, Can E. ↑,
66', Beier M. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Anton W. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
78', Savinho 🟨,
79', Savinho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
79', Reijnders T. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
79', Doku J. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
81', Adeyemi K. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
85', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
86', Haaland E. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
86', O'Reilly N. ↓, Ait Nouri R. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Cherki R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.

In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Man City: Kovacic M. (Health problems) Phillips K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Borussia D: Brandt J. (Muscle Injury) Drewes P. (Inactive) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Ozcan S. (Inactive) Sule N. (Toe Injury)

We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
02.11.25	Manchester City - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Swansea City - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Villarreal - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
18.10.25	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Copenhagen - Borussia Dortmund	2:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
25.10.22	Borussia Dortmund - Manchester City	0:0
14.09.22	Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
14.04.21	Borussia Dortmund - Manchester City	1:2
06.04.21	Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
International Champions Cup
20.07.18	Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund	0:1
28.07.16	Borussia Dortmund - Manchester City	1:2 penalties
UEFA Champions League
04.12.12	Borussia Dortmund - Manchester City	1:0

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