Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester City		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	11
	1.22	7.3	11.5
	1.24	7.4	13
	1.29	5.77	9.55	Watch
	1.22	7.96	11.7	Watch
	1.23	6.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.29)	7.07 ↑ (5.77)	11.46 ↑ (9.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
78%

Draw
13.6%

Leeds United
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

16.5%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.4%	6.8%	2.7%

Manchester City - Leeds United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Man City (1.67) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Leeds (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (65 of 71 users predict this - 91.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.08% – 98.02%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (33 of 34 users predict this - 97.06%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 39 - 92.9%). Leeds (votes: 3 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. 24. Gvardiol J. 33. O'Reilly N. 4. Reijnders T. 14. Nico 20. Silva B. (C) 47. Foden P. 9. Haaland E. 11. Doku J.	1. Lucas Perri (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 24. Justin J. 22. Tanaka A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 7. James D. 14. Nmecha L. 29. Gnonto W.
Substitutes
21. Ait Nouri R. 6. Ake N. 10. Cherki R. 45. Khusanov A. 82. Lewis R. 7. Marmoush O. 26. Savinho 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)	11. Aaronson B. 15. Bijol J. 25. Byram S. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 3. Gudmundsson G. 20. Harrison J. 16. Meslier I. (G) 19. Okafor N. 10. Piroe J.
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Foden P. ⚽, Nunes M. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Gvardiol J. ⚽, O'Reilly N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', James D. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
46', Gnonto W. ↓, Bijol J. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽,
55', Nunes M. 🟨,
57', Silva B. 🟨,
58', Rodon J. 🟨,
66', Gvardiol J. 🟨,
68', Nmecha L. (Pen),
68', 2 - 2, Nmecha L. ⚽,
69', Justin J. ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
75', Reijnders T. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
82', Nmecha L. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
87', Donnarumma G. 🟨,
89', Silva B. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Foden P. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
90+2', Tanaka A. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
90+6', Doku J. ↓, Stones J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4.

Man City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leeds's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leeds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Man City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Man City is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Man City: Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Rodri (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Longstaff S. (Calf Injury) Stach A. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Leeds: Bornauw S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Man City won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 3.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 3.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Newcastle United - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Manchester City - Liverpool	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
02.11.25	Manchester City - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Leeds United
English Premier League
23.11.25	Leeds United - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Leeds United - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Burnley - Leeds United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
06.05.23	Manchester City - Leeds United	2:1
28.12.22	Leeds United - Manchester City	1:3
30.04.22	Leeds United - Manchester City	0:4
14.12.21	Manchester City - Leeds United	7:0
10.04.21	Manchester City - Leeds United	1:2
03.10.20	Leeds United - Manchester City	1:1
English FA Cup
17.02.13	Manchester City - Leeds United	4:0

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