Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Górnik Łęczna		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.1
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.25	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.46	3.61	2.08
	3.43	3.47	2.06	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.51	3.59	1.93	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.21)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)	2.07 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
28.2%

Draw
26.8%

Termalica Nieciecza
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pindroch B. (G) 18. Barauskas D. 14. Szabaciuk F. 6. De Amo J. 16. Zyra P. 11. Janaszek F. 10. Deja A. (C) 52. Warchol D. 19. Banaszak P. 95. Roginic M. 21. Bednarczyk J.	1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 23. Spendlhofer L. 6. Wolski M. 86. Strzalek I. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. (C) 8. Dombrovskiy A. 17. Zaviyskyi T. 12. Wrobel J. 10. Karasek K.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. 5. Broda M. 15. Krawczyk S. 23. Oduko O. 12. Olszak D. (G) 22. Orlik K. 7. Traore S. 9. Turski H. 25. Zbozien D.	35. Deisadze D. 18. Farbiszewski B. 21. Hilbrycht D. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 16. Planeta T. 77. Putivtsev A. 80. Rozycki J. 25. Zapolnik K.
Coaches
Stano P.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Wolski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Wrobel J. ⚽,
61', Wrobel J. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
63', Janaszek F. ↓, Krawczyk S. ↑,
63', Roginic M. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
63', Barauskas D. ↓, Oduko O. ↑,
68', Oduko O. 🟨,
70', Warchol D. ↓, Orlik K. ↑,
72', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
74', Wolski M. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
74', Karasek K. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,
77', Zyra P. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Isik G. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
90', Spendlhofer L. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Górnik Łęczna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Termalica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:25 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
26.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTTT
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
26.10.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
28.04.24	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
28.10.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	3:0
23.04.23	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
17.09.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	2:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.05.22	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
21.11.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
Polish Division 1
02.05.21	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3

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