Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Górnik Zabrze		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.45	Watch
	1.99	3.56	3.98
	1.94	3.72	3.8	Watch
	2	3.4	3.3
	1.92	3.56	3.68	Watch
	1.88	3.66	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	3.56 ↑ (3.1)	3.64 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
48.2%

Draw
26.2%

Pogoń Szczecin
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Pogoń Szczecin (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 13. Sadilek L. 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 11. Domingues B. 23. Liseth S. 33. Khlan M.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 15. Ali H. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 32. Koutris L. 8. Ulvestad F. 3. Acosta K. 18. Mukairu P. 90. Greenwood S. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 24. Angielski K.
Substitutes
18. Ambros L. 4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 99. Loska T. (G) 15. Massimo R. 16. Olkowski P. 10. Podolski L. 36. Rakoczy M. 77. Rupanov B. 21. Sauer M. 5. Szczesniak K.	6. Bieganski J. 30. Czaplinski J. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 4. Leo Borges 22. Loncar D. 23. Mendy B. 61. Smolinski K.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Thomasberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Greenwood S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Greenwood S. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
52', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
61', Domingues B. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
61', Sadilek L. ↓, Ambros L. ↑,
67', Angielski K. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
69', Sacek M. 🟨,
74', Janza E. 🟨,
74', Leo Borges 🟨,
74', Grosicki K. 🟨,
79', Liseth S. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
79', Kubicki J. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
79', Koutris L. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
79', Ali H. ↓, Loncar D. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Ulvestad F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Grosicki K. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
90+3', Podolski L. 🟨,
90+7', Keramitsis D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 2.

Górnik Zabrze is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Górnik Zabrze could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% Pogon Szczecin: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19:9	10	25
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Slovan Bratislava	Canceled ✺
10.01.26	Žilina - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLW?W
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	0:3
07.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	3:0
02.08.24	Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0
25.05.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	1:0
Polish Cup
05.12.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.12.23	Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0
20.05.23	Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1

Upcoming Matches