Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 4

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)


	Güemes		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	4.20	2.85	2.01	Watch
	3.70	2.90	2.05
	3.4	2.82	2.25	Watch
	3.51	2.88	2.55
	3.53	2.78	2.38	Watch
	3.75	2.90	2.05
	3.4	2.66	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.92)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)	2.23 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Güemes
25.5%

Draw
32.9%

Gimnasia Jujuy
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

31.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Güemes's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Güemes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Güemes - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Arnay R. 2. Juarez W. 3. Rizzi F. 6. Lazza E. 11. Gerez M. 8. Farrera S. 5. Godoy F. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J. 10. Veliz D.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Lazarte M. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 8. Gallardo D. 11. Bianchi O. 10. Molina F. 9. Cachi M.
Substitutes
20. Amilivia T. 15. Baier G. 19. Benitez M. 14. Bordon A. 17. Esposito G. 13. Gonzalez A. (G) 16. Juarez J. 12. Martinez L. (G) 18. Pugliese G.	18. Arganaraz A. 17. Casa M. 19. Franzoni J. 12. Gomez G. (G) 14. Lopez D. 20. Menendez C. 16. Paradela F. 15. Pombo C. 13. Varela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Molina F. ⚽, Lazarte M. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Bianchi O. ⚽, Lazarte M. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Farrera S. ↓, Baier G. ↑,
46', Arnay R. ↓, Bordon A. ↑,
46', Gallardo D. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Casa M. ⚽, Molina F. (A),
63', Molina F. ↓, Menendez C. ↑,
63', Bianchi O. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
72', Sanchez J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
76', Sala S. G. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
76', Rizzi F. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
79', Cachi M. ↓, Pombo C. ↑,

Preview

Federation decision.

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia Jujuy - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.26	Temperley - Güemes	4:1 ✺
07.06.26	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Club Almagro - Güemes	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colegiales - Güemes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.06.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	4:0 ✺
13.06.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Belgrano	2:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Güemes	1:0
14.04.24	Güemes - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1
30.04.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Güemes	0:2
07.08.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Güemes	1:1
28.03.21	Güemes - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0

Upcoming Matches