Match Info

Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Tychy		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.65	2.58	Watch
	2.52	3.79	2.56
	2.36	3.64	2.59	Watch
	2.35	3.52	2.5
	2.35	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.87)	3.62 ↓ (4.13)	2.56 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
38.4%

Draw
25.5%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

22.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

23%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Tychy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kolotylo K. (G) 21. Machowski K. 5. Glogowski K. 3. Teclaw J. 11. Blachewicz M. 15. Bieronski J. 28. Kalemba M. L. 10. Makowski R. 37. Keiblinger J. 9. Rumin D. 22. Kubik T.	1. Kieszek P. (G) 16. Gajgier A. 99. Noiszewski K. (C) 6. Farbiszewski B. 52. Olewinski O. 31. Staniszewski J. 77. Adkonis J. 27. Konstantyn J. 71. Szczepaniak M. 19. Adamski R. 7. Jedrasik J.
Substitutes
26. Brzek B. 47. Jankowski B. 92. Kadzior D. 19. Stangret M. 18. Stefansson O. 8. Szpakowski M. 1. Wechsel L. (G) . Woudstra Y.	30. Barnowski D. 9. Gieroba S. 25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 11. Kargulewicz K. 92. Krupa J. 13. Lis J. 20. Wypart O.
Coaches
Skowronek A.	Stokowiec P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽, Konstantyn J. (A),
13', Glogowski K. 🟨,
19', 0 - 2, Szczepaniak M. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Rumin D. ⚽, Keiblinger J. (A),
41', Kalemba M. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kubik T. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
58', Kalemba M. L. ↓, Stangret M. ↑,
67', Jedrasik J. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
67', Olewinski O. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
69', Makowski R. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
69', Glogowski K. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
78', Konstantyn J. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
78', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
80', Rumin D. ↓, Woudstra Y. ↑,
90+3', Adkonis J. ↓, Gulczynski G. ↑,

Preview

GKS Tychy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	GKS Tychy - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Tychy - Wieczysta Kraków	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
03.11.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWTWW

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