Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	14:45	ESPN 2
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	21:45	CBC Sport
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Macao	01:45	TDM TV
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	11:45	ESPN 2
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Football, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:45	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Galatasaray		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.2	4.4
	1.74	4.41	4.48
				Watch
	1.7	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	4.27 ↑ (4.22)	4.4 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
56%

Draw
22.4%

AZ Alkmaar
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

23.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.4%	12.3%	12.3%

Galatasaray - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 49 - 76.6%). AZ will win (votes: 8 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 66.2% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Guvenc G. (G) 6. Sanchez D. 26. Cuesta C. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 24. Jelert E. 34. Torreira L. 20. Gabriel Sara 7. Sallai R. 10. Mertens D. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. M. 14. Belic K. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Poku E. 9. Parrott T. 23. Lahdo M.
Substitutes
83. Akman E. 72. Balta C. 90. Baltaci M. 8. Demirbay K. 30. Demir Y. 63. Halidi I. 18. Kutlu B. 67. Lus B. 1. Muslera F. (G) 65. Subasi K. 71. Turan H. 50. Yilmaz J. (G)	28. Buurmeester Z. 37. Daal R. 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 30. Kasius D. 4. Martins Indi B. 11. Sadiq I. 26. Smit K. 78. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Buruk O.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Mijnans S. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Maikuma S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lahdo M. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
46', Sanchez D. ↓, Baltaci M. ↑,
46', Mertens D. ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Kasius D. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Osimhen V. ⚽, Torreira L. (A),
61', Torreira L. ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,
61', Belic K. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
65', Jelert E. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Sallai R. ⚽, Yilmaz B. A. (A),
73', Gabriel Sara ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
80', Osimhen V. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
87', Parrott T. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
87', Wolfe D. M. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-4.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Galatasaray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Galatasaray have a series of guest games.

In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Knee Injury) Aydin E. (Inactive) Ayhan K. (Red Card) Elmali E. (Inactive) Frankowski P. (Inactive) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Jakobs I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kutucu A. (Inactive) Lemina M. (Inactive) Morata A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Sadiq I. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Meerdink M. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Galatasaray to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Galatasaray won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
17.02.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
09.02.25	Galatasaray - Adana Demirspor	Galatasaray awarded ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.25	Boluspor - Galatasaray	1:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.02.25	Gaziantep - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WL?WW
- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
09.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
06.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Quick Boys	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Willem II - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Ferencvárosi - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	4:1
28.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	1:1

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