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Current Win Probability
Galatasaray 33.9%
Draw 29.8%
Olympique Marseille 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
27.7%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
20.1%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21%
42%
37%
Galatasaray - Olympique Marseille Predictions
Users Predictions:
81 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 17 - 21%). Marseille will win (votes: 30 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 34 - 42%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.3% – 52.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Galatasaray has a good chance of round of 16 (56%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 8, has a chance of 1st (50%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a chance of 3rd (22%).
Marseille has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 4, has a small chance of 1st (14%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (48%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Galatasaray won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.