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Current Win Probability
Olympique Marseille 43%
Draw 27.3%
Lazio 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
27.4%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
18.5%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lazio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.4%
26.3%
26.3%
Olympique Marseille - Lazio Predictions
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 27 - 47.4%). Lazio will win (votes: 15 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 26.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 34.4% โ 60.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Marseille has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (18%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (44%), has a chance of round of 16 (28%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lazio has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (38%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a chance of round of 16 (44%), has a chance of qtrs (21%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Marseille is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Lazio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Marseille will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.