Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
France	CANAL+ Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Italy	Sky Sport Arena
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Clermont		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.62	Watch
	5	4	1.65
	4.9	4.15	1.65	Watch
	5.09	4.13	1.64
	5.46	4.14	1.65
	5	4.2	1.6
	5.5	4.27	1.63	Watch
	5.1	4.15	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↑ (4.1)	4.16 ↑ (3.65)	1.63 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Clermont
18.5%

Draw
23%

Olympique Marseille
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

26.5%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympique Marseille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	7.1%	82.1%

Clermont - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (46 of 56 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 92.17%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 17. Pelmard A. 4. Matsima C. 21. Ogier F. (C) 3. Neto Borges 6. Keita H. 25. Gastien J. 8. Boutobba B. 10. Muhammed Cham 26. Virginius A. 23. Nicholson S.	16. Lopez P. (G) 7. Clauss J. 99. Mbemba Ch. (C) 5. Balerdi L. 3. Merlin Q. 8. Ounahi A. 22. Gueye P. 11. Harit A. 23. Sarr I. 29. Ndiaye I. 10. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
11. Allevinah J. 9. Andric K. 22. Armougom Y. 97. Jacquet J. 15. Konate C. O. 7. Magnin Y. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 18. Rashani E. 2. Zeffane M.	20. Correa J. 6. Garcia U. 19. Kondogbia G. 44. Luis Henrique 18. Meite A. 14. Moumbagna F. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 17. Onana J. 33. Sparagna S.
Coaches
Gastien P.	Gasset J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 1.

Clermont is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marseille is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marseille is a favorite.

There will not play in Clermont: Bela J. (Injury) Berkani S. (Injury) Caufriez M. (Red Card) Gonalons M. (Injury) Kyei G. (Injury) Mabrouk A. (Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Injury) Gigot S. (Injury) Murillo M. (Muscle Injury) Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Marseille: Veretout J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
25.02.24	Nice - Clermont	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Rennes - Clermont	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Clermont - Brest	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lille - Clermont	4:0 ✺
28.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTLT
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
25.02.24	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Olympique Marseille - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.02.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.02.24	Olympique Marseille - Metz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.12.23	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	2:1
11.02.23	Clermont - Olympique Marseille	0:2
31.08.22	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	1:0
20.02.22	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	0:2
31.10.21	Clermont - Olympique Marseille	0:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
26.10.16	Clermont - Olympique Marseille	1:2

Upcoming Matches