Match Info

Date: 4 July 2020, Saturday


	Gangwon		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.23	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.26	3.35	2.95
	2.31	3.5	3.05
	2.3	3.4	2.9
	2.32	3.48	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	3.01 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
41.4%

Draw
27.6%

Busan I Park
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

19%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gangwon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Busan I Park could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gangwon - Busan I Park Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean Cup
01.07.20	Gangwon - Gangneung	2:1 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.06.20	Daegu - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
20.06.20	Pohang Steelers - Gangwon	2:0 ✺
16.06.20	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
13.06.20	Suwon Bluewings - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLT
- Busan I Park
South Korean Cup
01.07.20	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	4:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.06.20	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
21.06.20	Incheon United - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
17.06.20	Busan I Park - Daegu	2:2 ✺
14.06.20	Gwangju - Busan I Park	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.11.16	Gangwon - Busan I Park	1:0
South Korean K-League 2
19.10.16	Busan I Park - Gangwon	2:1
10.08.16	Gangwon - Busan I Park	1:2
12.06.16	Busan I Park - Gangwon	0:0
02.04.16	Gangwon - Busan I Park	0:1
South Korean Cup
29.04.15	Busan I Park - Gangwon	2:3
South Korean K-League 1
03.07.13	Gangwon - Busan I Park	2:2

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