Match Info

K League 1 - Round 15

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
World	K League TV


	Gangwon		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.15	3.05
	2.32	3.37	3.38
	2.26	3.18	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.22	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	3.18 (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
41.5%

Draw
29.1%

Ulsan HD
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Ulsan HD have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Gangwon - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ulsan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Ulsan (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 34. Song Jun-Seok 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 7. Kim Dae-Won 96. Choe Byeong-Chan 11. Goh Young-Jun	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 77. Sim Sang-Min 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 28. Lee Jae-Ik 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 66. Trojak M. 6. Bojanic D. 9. Marcao 17. Kang Sang-Woo
Substitutes
77. Hleihel A. 3. Jeong Seung-Bin 27. Kim Do-Hyun 9. Kim Gun-Hee 21. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 8. Lee Seung-Won 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 4. Seo Min-Woo 47. Shin Min-Ha	20. Jeong Jae-sang 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 8. Lee H. 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 16. Park Woo-jin 27. Pedrinho 13. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 99. Yago Cariello 2. Yoon Jong-Gyu
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Kim Hyun-seok

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Choe Byeong-Chan ⚽, Kang Joon-Hyuck (A),
41', Trojak M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Tuci M. ⚽, Kim Dae-Won (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kang Sang-Woo ↓, Lee H. ↑,
46', Marcao ↓, Yago Cariello ↑,
51', Mo Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
53', Trojak M. ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
62', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Seo Min-Woo ↑,
62', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
66', Song Jun-Seok 🟨,
67', Jung Seung-Hyun ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
72', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Jeong Jae-sang ↑,
78', Jeong Jae-sang 🟨,
83', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
83', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Shin Min-Ha ↑,
85', Kang Joon-Hyuck 🟨,
88', Hleihel A. 🟨,
90+2', Jeong Jae-sang 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gangwon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ulsan has had a series of home games.

Gangwon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:39. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangwon won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46

Last Results with these Odds

Gangwon - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.6%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
12.05.26	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
05.05.26	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Incheon United - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gangwon - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWL
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
13.05.26	Ulsan HD - Jeju	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
28.02.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	3:1
27.07.25	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	2:2
17.05.25	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	1:1
19.04.25	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	1:2
01.11.24	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:1
13.09.24	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:0
19.05.24	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	1:0

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