Match Info

National League - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

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	Gateshead		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	2.75
	2.25	3.55	2.82
	2.23	3.75	2.94
	1.97	3.80	3.26	Watch
	2.23	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.92)	3.67 ↓ (3.83)	2.92 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
42.8%

Draw
25.4%

Truro City
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gateshead's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gateshead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Gateshead - Truro City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 20. John F. 6. Flint W. 2. Johnson C. 15. Bakare I. 17. Home J. 10. Butterfield J. 3. Ferguson D. 21. Hurst K. 32. Chapman H. 14. Nouble F.	1. Lavercombe D. (G) 2. Bell Z. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 25. Donnellan S. 20. Law R. 3. Riley-Lowe C. 14. Hasani L. 4. Dean W. 7. En-Neyah Y. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 15. Jephcott L.
Substitutes
7. Adom K. 35. Bone C. 22. Edwards C. 13. Leech P. (G) 34. Melbourne M. 27. Pennant K. 9. Telford D.	27. Janneh S. 21. Kinsey M. 29. Kite H. 16. Love-Holmes T. 19. Pyke R. 17. Sanogo S. 24. Stone A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Johnson-Fisher D. ⚽,
39', Home J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ⚽,
45+2', Bell Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hurst K. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
46', Flint W. ↓, Melbourne M. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Adom K. ⚽,
68', Johnson-Fisher D. ↓, Pyke R. ↑,
68', Home J. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Nouble F. ⚽, Chapman H. (A),
71', Butterfield J. ↓, Pennant K. ↑,
78', Chapman H. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
90+4', John F. 🟨,
90+5', Adom K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Gateshead is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Truro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Truro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gateshead is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Gateshead - Sunderland U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Brackley Town - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Aveley - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Gateshead - Boston United	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW
- Truro City
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Truro City - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Truro City - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Truro City - Totton	1:2 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Woking - Truro City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLTT

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