Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	General San Martín de Formosa		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.00	6.50
	1.50	3.90	5.40
	1.41	4.08	7.35
	1.43	4.15	7.81	Watch
	1.44	3.70	7.00
	1.42	4.35	7.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	4.03 ↑ (3.86)	6.92 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
64%

Draw
22.8%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R. 4. Velazco L.	1. Acuna D. (G) 5. Alarcon G. 8. Almiron C. 10. Bogado E. 4. Di Buo I. 2. Dominguez F. 3. Franco N. 6. Gnemmi E. 9. Gonzalez H. H. 11. Martinez P. 7. Pared M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Siergiejuk M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Leiva D. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, Tapia R. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
66', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín Formosa won 3.

San Martín Formosa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarmiento has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Martín Formosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, San Martín Formosa is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Martín Formosa won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Martín Formosa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:1. (average 2.3:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Boca Unidos - General San Martín de Formosa	3:1 ✺
07.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Tucuman Central	3:2 ✺
25.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - General San Martín de Formosa	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.04.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1
13.07.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1
10.05.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	5:0
14.06.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1
21.04.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
01.10.23	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:2
02.08.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	5:0

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