Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 6, RTBF Tipik
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 9
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 18, Blue Sport 18
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 9, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	VIX App


	Utrecht		Genk

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.5	3.6	2.1
	2.39	3.65	2.59
	3.44	3.52	2.12
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.57	3.57	2.2
	3.4	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.59)	3.52 ↑ (3.44)	2.19 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
29.1%

Draw
27.2%

Genk
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrecht's form might have worsened.

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.8%	17.8%	64.4%

Utrecht - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Genk will win (votes: 29 - 65.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 51.9% – 79.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Utrecht (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Genk (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Genk (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Genk (votes: 18 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Brouwer M. (G) 23. Vesterlund N. 40. Didden M. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 55. Murkin D. 27. Engwanda A. 20. de Wit D. (C) 8. Bozdogan C. 22. Rodriguez M. 91. Haller S. 10. Cathline Y.	26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 19. Medina Y. 20. Karetsas K. 8. Heynen B. (C) 38. Heymans D. 14. Sor Y. 10. Ito J. 23. Bibout A.
Substitutes
1. Barkas V. (G) 15. Blake A. 43. El Arguioui R. 16. El Karouani S. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. Horemans S. 49. Menzo B. 6. van den Berg D. 3. van der Hoorn M. 46. van Ommeren J. 24. Viergever N.	21. Bangoura I. 56. De Wannemacker A. 99. Erabi J. 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 7. Steuckers J. 71. Stevens B. (G) 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
Coaches
Jans R.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Haller S. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽,
63', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
68', Sor Y. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
68', Engwanda A. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
68', Murkin D. ↓, El Karouani S. ↑,
74', Bibout A. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
81', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Heymans D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Karetsas K. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Utrecht: Demircan E. (Inactive) Finnsson K. (Inactive) Jenner I. (Inactive) Jensen V. (Inactive) Min D. (Injury) Ohio N. (Inactive) Zechiel G. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N. (Muscle Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.26	Volendam - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
13.01.26	Utrecht - Twente	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.25	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	FC Oss - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	NAC Breda - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWT
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.01.26	Zulte Waregem - Genk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Genk - Diósgyőri	3:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.25	Genk - Club Brugge	3:5 ✺
19.12.25	Charleroi - Genk	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Genk - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT

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