Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	Play Sports 6, RTBF Tipik
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 9
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 18, Blue Sport 18
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 9, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Utrecht		Genk

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.5	3.6	2.1
	2.39	3.65	2.59
	3.44	3.52	2.12
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.57	3.57	2.2
	3.4	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.59)	3.52 ↑ (3.44)	2.19 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
29.1%

Draw
27.2%

Genk
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrecht's form might have worsened.

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.8%	17.8%	64.4%

Utrecht - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Genk will win (votes: 29 - 65.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 51.9% – 79.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Utrecht (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Genk (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Genk (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Genk (votes: 18 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Brouwer M. (G) 23. Vesterlund N. 40. Didden M. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 55. Murkin D. 27. Engwanda A. 20. de Wit D. (C) 8. Bozdogan C. 22. Rodriguez M. 91. Haller S. 10. Cathline Y.	26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 19. Medina Y. 20. Karetsas K. 8. Heynen B. (C) 38. Heymans D. 14. Sor Y. 10. Ito J. 23. Bibout A.
Substitutes
1. Barkas V. (G) 15. Blake A. 43. El Arguioui R. 16. El Karouani S. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. Horemans S. 49. Menzo B. 6. van den Berg D. 3. van der Hoorn M. 46. van Ommeren J. 24. Viergever N.	21. Bangoura I. 56. De Wannemacker A. 99. Erabi J. 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 7. Steuckers J. 71. Stevens B. (G) 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
Coaches
Jans R.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Haller S. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽,
63', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
68', Sor Y. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
68', Engwanda A. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
68', Murkin D. ↓, El Karouani S. ↑,
74', Bibout A. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
81', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Heymans D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Karetsas K. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Utrecht: Demircan E. (Inactive) Finnsson K. (Inactive) Jenner I. (Inactive) Jensen V. (Inactive) Min D. (Injury) Ohio N. (Inactive) Zechiel G. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N. (Muscle Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.26	Volendam - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
13.01.26	Utrecht - Twente	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.25	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	FC Oss - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	NAC Breda - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWT
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.01.26	Zulte Waregem - Genk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Genk - Diósgyőri	3:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.25	Genk - Club Brugge	3:5 ✺
19.12.25	Charleroi - Genk	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Genk - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT

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