Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	20:45	Z Sports 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	00:45	Futbol TV
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Genoa		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.95	3.15	2.08	Watch
	4.07	3.5	2
	3.8	3.26	2.17	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.9	3.29	2.2
	3.8	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (3.98)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	2.11 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
25%

Draw
29.8%

Atalanta
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27.1%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27.7%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	13.2%	70.6%

Genoa - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 11 - 16.2%). Atalanta will win (votes: 48 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 59.8% – 81.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Genoa (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Atalanta (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Atalanta (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leali N. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 32. Frendrup M. 17. Malinovskyi R. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 18. Ekuban C.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 77. Zappacosta D. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 6. Musah Y. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 70. Maldini D. 9. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
23. Carboni V. 29. Colombo L. 21. Ekhator J. 40. Fini S. 35. Lysionok E. (G) 73. Masini P. 5. Ostigard L. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 8. Stanciu N. 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L.	69. Ahanor H. 44. Brescianini M. 90. Krstovic N. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 42. Scalvini G. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Leali N. 🟥,
5', Martin A. ↓, Sommariva D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Maldini D. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
60', Samardzic L. 🟨,
67', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
67', Ekuban C. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
69', Bernasconi L. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
69', Zappacosta D. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
79', Zalewski N. 🟨,
82', Ederson ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
82', Kolasinac S. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
83', Vitinha ↓, Masini P. ↑,
85', Thorsby M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Hien I. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.

Genoa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atalanta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atalanta has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atalanta is the team to beat.

There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M. (Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Junior Messias (Calf Injury) Onana J. (International duty) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Djimsiti B. (Injury) Kossounou O. (International duty) Lookman A. (International duty)

There are questionable in Genoa: Ostigard L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Sulemana K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 23:45. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.3:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Udinese - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Atalanta - Genoa	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Genoa - Verona	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cagliari - Genoa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWT
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
13.12.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Atalanta - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Atalanta - Genoa	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Atalanta - Genoa	4:0
Italian Serie A
17.05.25	Genoa - Atalanta	2:3
05.10.24	Atalanta - Genoa	5:1
11.02.24	Genoa - Atalanta	1:4
22.10.23	Atalanta - Genoa	2:0
13.03.22	Atalanta - Genoa	0:0
21.12.21	Genoa - Atalanta	0:0

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