Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3
	3	3.25	2.3
	3	3.3	2.35
	3.28	3.27	2.37
	3.1	3.25	2.3
	3.13	3.28	2.29	Watch
	3	3.3	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.59)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	2.31 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
30.7%

Draw
28.6%

Mansfield Town
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

31.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mansfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Gillingham - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 2. Alexander C. 4. Masterson C. 22. Ogie S. 13. Malone S. 11. Jefferies D. 18. Coleman E. 8. Williams J. 6. Williams S. 23. Mahoney C. 45. Bonne M.	1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. 24. Brunt L. 11. MacDonald C. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 8. Clarke O. 7. Akins L. 10. Maris G.
Substitutes
17. Clarke J. 5. Ehmer M. 7. Lapslie G. 14. McKenzie R. 1. Morris G. (G) 10. Nadesan A. 9. Nichols T.	44. Boateng H. 6. Cargill B. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 2. Johnson C. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.
Coaches
Harris N.	Clough N.

Preview

Recent matches Gillingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mansfield is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
23.09.23	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Gillingham - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Gillingham - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Gillingham - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Grimsby Town - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL
- Mansfield Town
English League Cup
26.09.23	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
23.09.23	Mansfield Town - Barrow	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	0:3 ✺
02.09.23	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.02.23	Mansfield Town - Gillingham	2:0
17.09.22	Gillingham - Mansfield Town	0:2

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