The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 40.1%
Draw 30.1%
Notts County 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29.1%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.4%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Gillingham - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 29% – 96%.
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Smith A. 14. McKenzie R. 30. Gale S. 3. Clark M. 17. Smith J. 23. Dack B. (C) 10. Williams J. 9. Andrews J. 20. Nevitt E.
1. Roos K. (G) 23. Aljofree S. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 2. Gordon K. 8. Norburn O. 18. Palmer M. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 29. Jatta A. 19. Dennis M. 14. Iorpenda T.
Substitutes
15. Akomeah T. 32. Cirino L. 22. Ogie S. 11. Rowe A. 25. Turner J. (G) 19. Vokes S. 18. Wyllie M.
37. Cotter B. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 10. Jones J. 28. Macari L. 20. Robertson S.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Dennis M. 🟨,
36', Andrews J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Andrews J. ⚽, Hutton R. (A),
58', Gordon K. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
59', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
59', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
65', Smith A. 🟨,
69', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
69', Smith J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
75', Nevitt E. 🟨,
78', Norburn O. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
84', Dennis M. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
90+3', Dack B. 🟨,
90+5', Dack B. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
Gillingham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Notts County is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
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Morris G. (G) 
Williams J. 
Roos K. (G) 
Bedeau J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Jatta A. 
Cirino L. 
Ogie S. 
Jones J. 
Macari L. 
Paterson M. 
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