The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 22.4%
Draw 26.2%
Wigan Athletic 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
28%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
21.5%
59%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wigan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gillingham - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Gillingham has the most likely position - 16 (6.07%), has project points - 60, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 3 (8.46%), has project points - 74, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently Wigan have a series of home games.
In this match Wigan is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.