The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnástic de Tarragona 49%
Draw 28.3%
Real Sociedad B 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
32%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
32.7%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.
Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
12.5%
6.2%
Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Gimnàstic will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnàstic: 62.2% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnástic de Tarragona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 9. Antonin 5. Dufur U. 17. Fernandez P. 6. Gorostidi A. 20. Miguel 8. Montalvo M. 22. Narro V. 21. Oriol J. (C) 37. Pujol E. 19. Torres R.
13. Arana E. (G) 40. Astiazaran L. 3. Balda J. 24. Beitia L. 28. Carbonell T. 18. Garcia E. 44. Gorosabel G. 9. Orobengoa E. 8. Rodriguez M. 15. Rodriguez P. 22. Ruperez I.
Substitutes
23. Concha D. 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 11. Fernandez M. 38. Gutierrez A. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. 15. Leal A. 26. Salva J. (G) 14. Sanz O. 1. Varo A. (G)
23. Agote U. 5. Astigarraga E. 35. Carrera G. 37. Garro J. 16. Gibelalde M. 6. Lebarbier A. 19. Marchal A. 21. Merino J. 29. Osazuwa S. 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I. 32. Zango A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Dufur U. (Own goal),
13', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
43', Balda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Miguel 🟨,
58', Gorosabel G. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
58', Montalvo M. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
58', Torres R. ↓, Sanz O. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
65', Narro V. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
67', Sanz O. 🟨,
72', Antonin ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
72', Astiazaran L. ↓, Carrera G. ↑,
72', Orobengoa E. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Fernandez P. ⚽,
85', Carbonell T. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
85', Rodriguez M. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Carrera G. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, Gimnàstic is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Real Sociedad B - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Rebollo D. (G) 
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