Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Sol de América de Formosa

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.40	5.00
	1.47	3.55	6.3
	1.69	3.45	5.24
	1.54	3.55	6.44	Watch
	1.48	3.55	6.1
	1.54	3.59	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.32)	3.52 ↓ (4.25)	5.88 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
58.6%

Draw
25.9%

Sol de América de Formosa
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.

Sol de América de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sol de América de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 3. D'Amelio X. 4. Dauria M. 10. Ferreira P. 2. Fiol F. 8. Gutierrez M. 7. Medina R. 9. Morales E. 11. Salvaggio M. (C) 6. Samaniego L. 5. Zarate A.	1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 11. Cabanas J. 9. Di Martino B. 10. Jimenez S. 4. Lopez Alba R. 8. Mendoza F. M. 7. Mendoza M. 6. Ojeda M. 2. Pardo F. 3. Pietkiewicz F.
Substitutes
14. Bassi E. 17. Fernandez V. 13. Flores F. 15. Guglielmo A. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 16. Millan J. 20. Ortiz N. 19. Salinardi A. M. 18. Visser B.	12. Arce L. M. (G) 13. Medeiro E. 19. Medina A. 16. Olmedo F. 18. Olmedo M. 17. Paredes F. 14. Pena M. 20. Sosa J. 15. Villasanti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Salvaggio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Morales E. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sol de América is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gimnasia Chivilcoy will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTL
- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sol de América de Formosa	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWTL

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