Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	FuboTV
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Colón

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.7	2.3	Watch
	3.5	2.65	2.25
	3.6	2.7	2.3	Watch
	3.84	2.71	2.38
	3.81	2.68	2.33	Watch
	3.7	2.7	2.25
	3.74	2.63	2.32	Watch
	3.6	2.7	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)	2.68 ↓ (2.72)	2.3 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Primera Nacional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
25%

Draw
34.6%

Colón
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

34.4%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

34%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Colón will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Neira E. 6. Tallura A. 3. Abello D. 8. Galetto J. 5. Birge R. 10. Carrasco D. 11. Heredia F. 7. Rocca J. 9. Attis T.	1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Garrido O. 2. Goltz P. 6. Lopes H. 3. Henriquez F. 8. Rodriguez A. 5. Prediger S. (C) 10. Guille B. 7. Talpone N. 9. Toledo J. 11. Delgadillo N.
Substitutes
17. Araujo A. 19. Busse W. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 15. Esparza M. 20. Gordillo L. 13. Monti I. 14. Narese E. 18. Rojas F. 16. Villarreal R.	13. Castet F. 14. Forneris A. 16. Herrera E. 18. Jourdan F. 19. Juncos B. 20. Leguizamon N. 15. Navas J. 17. Rossi G. 12. Vicentini M. (G)
Coaches
Forestello R.	Delfino I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Henriquez F. 🟨,
36', Neira E. 🟨,
38', Carrasco D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Rocca J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Delgadillo N. ↓, Jourdan F. ↑,
64', Rodriguez A. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
71', Rocca J. ↓, Busse W. ↑,
71', Carrasco D. ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
73', Talpone N. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
74', Guille B. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
79', Prediger S. ↓, Castet F. ↑,
81', Attis T. ↓, Gordillo L. ↑,
86', Castet F. 🟨,
88', Chaves I. F. ↓, Narese E. ↑,
90+3', Jourdan F. 🟨,
90+3', Birge R. 🟨,

Preview

Gimnasia y Tiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colón is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Colón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.24	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
05.07.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWTT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.08.24	Colón - Mitre	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Aldosivi - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Colón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Patronato Parana - Colón	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Almirante Brown - Colón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.24	Colón - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0

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