Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 26

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	Gnistan		Inter Turku

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.80	1.65
	4.60	3.90	1.68
	4.40	3.90	1.62	Watch
	4.68	4.05	1.74
	4.56	3.96	1.72	Watch
	4.65	4.00	1.71
	4.46	3.91	1.70	Watch
	4.30	3.70	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4.15)	3.9 ↑ (3.61)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
20.7%

Draw
23.9%

Inter Turku
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.8%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Gnistan - Inter Turku Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Gnistan (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Inter Turku will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen O. (G) 19. Milovanov B. 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 3. Ruxi 12. Arko-Mensah E. 7. Atarah A. 31. Jouhi A. 15. Europaeus G. 23. Ylatupa S. 10. Latonen J.	1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 18. Saarinen S. 22. Kuittinen L. (C) 6. Ivanov R. 2. Niska J. 14. Laine J. 17. Ampofo B. 7. Sjogrell H. 9. Tuominen J. 16. Jephta C. 10. Conteh A.
Substitutes
2. Dahlstrom B. 26. Eremenko R. 14. Eremenko S. 27. Hannula O. 95. Juricka M. (G) 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 25. Rossi N.	30. Amankwah Y. 11. Botue J. 5. Granlund A. 19. Jarvinen I. 35. Kiiskila E. 28. Laine L. 33. Suso M. 24. Tauriainen J. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G)
Coaches
Leppalahti J.	Vasara V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ivanov R. 🟨,
31', Tuominen J. 🟨,
31', Jouhi A. 🟨,
32', Ampofo B. ↓, Kiiskila E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Latonen J. ↓, Eremenko R. ↑,
69', Ylatupa S. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
71', Saarinen S. ↓, Tauriainen J. ↑,
71', Jephta C. ↓, Laine L. ↑,
79', Europaeus G. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑,
83', Sjogrell H. 🟨,
85', Sjogrell H. ↓, Suso M. ↑,
85', Tuominen J. ↓, Botue J. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Inter Turku holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Knee Injury) Marcelo Costa (Inactive).

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:26 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gnistan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:8 goals (averaging 1.2:1.6 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32:18	14	49
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42

Last Results with these Odds

Gnistan - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 22.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Gnistan - TPS	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	HJK - Gnistan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWTTW
- Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	HJK - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.07.26	Inter Turku - Gnistan	1:2
05.05.26	Gnistan - Inter Turku	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
17.01.26	Gnistan - Inter Turku	0:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.10.25	Inter Turku - Gnistan	2:1
13.09.25	Gnistan - Inter Turku	0:2
27.06.25	Gnistan - Inter Turku	2:2
12.04.25	Inter Turku - Gnistan	3:0

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