Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 26

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Mirassol		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	6	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5.25
	1.75	3.25	5.5
	1.78	3.33	5.78
	1.82	3.18	4.99	Watch
	1.75	3.25	5
	1.74	3.36	5.19	Watch
	1.75	3.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)	5.4 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
53.7%

Draw
28.9%

Amazonas
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

32.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mirassol - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 37. Zeca 100. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho (C) 10. Chico Kim 14. Isaque 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho	12. Marcao (G) 2. Ezequiel 14. Ivan Alvarino 4. Miranda 6. Fabiano 15. Cauan Barros 7. Erick Varao 8. Diego Torres 26. Enio 99. Sassa 11. Matheus Serafim
Substitutes
2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 29. Cristian Renato 77. Iury Castilho 20. Joao Pedro 99. Leo Gamalho 3. Lucas Gazal 98. Marquinhos 90. Thomazella (G) 30. Valdivia F. 1. Vanderlei (G) 31. Ze Mario	9. Dentinho 25. DG 1. Fabian Volpi (G) 13. Igor Bolt 5. Jorge Jimenez 20. Para 10. Rafael Tavares 21. Renan Castro 16. Sidcley 3. Thiago Spice 19. William Barbio
Coaches
Mozart	Rafael Lacerda

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Erick Varao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Isaque ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
62', Cauan Barros 🟨,
67', Diego Torres 🟨,
71', Chico Kim ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
71', Erick Varao ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
72', Diego Torres ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
79', Sassa ↓, Dentinho ↑,
80', Lucas Ramon ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
80', Neto Moura ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
81', Zeca 🟨,
86', Matheus Serafim ↓, DG ↑,
87', Enio ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).

Recent matches Mirassol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amazonas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amazonas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

There will not play in Amazonas: Wellington (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
07.09.24	Ituano - Mirassol	3:2 ✺
03.09.24	Mirassol - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Paysandu - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
21.08.24	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Ceará - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTLW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.24	Paysandu - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Amazonas - Ceará	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Santos - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Amazonas - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.05.24	Amazonas - Mirassol	1:0

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