Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Padovani Andrade D. J. (Bra)


	Grêmio		ABC

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.2	6	11
	1.2	6.25	11.5
	1.18	5.78	11.29
	1.18	5.5	13
	1.18	6.45	13.25
	1.19	6.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.36)	6.03 ↑ (4.23)	12.29 ↑ (8.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
77.2%

Draw
15.3%

ABC
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

21.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

20.9%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Grêmio - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 6 - 75%). ABC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Grêmio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches ABC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Grêmio is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
22.04.23	Cruzeiro - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Grêmio - Santos	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.04.23	ABC - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.04.23	Grêmio - Caxias	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Caxias - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWT
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
23.04.23	ABC - Vitória Salvador	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Londrina - ABC	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.04.23	ABC - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
09.04.23	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	0:1 ✺
05.04.23	ABC - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
13.04.23	ABC - Grêmio	0:2

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