Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 36

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Sport
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Grêmio		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.75
	1.53	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.48	6.39
	1.53	4.48	6.39
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.52	4.25	5.9	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)	4.31 ↑ (3.8)	6.18 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grêmio
62.7%

Draw
22%

Goiás
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	3.7%	14.8%

Grêmio - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Caique (G) 2. Fabio 34. Bruno Alves 4. Walter Kannemann 6. Reinaldo 20. Villasanti M. 8. Carballo F. 19. Cristaldo F. 32. Ribeiro N. 9. Suarez L. (C) 13. Everton Galdino	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 20. Diego 12. Willian Oliveira 40. Everton Morelli 55. Oyama L. 60. Guilherme 10. Palacios J. 7. Vinicius
Substitutes
77. Andre 22. Besozzi L. 15. Bruno Uvini 54. Cuiabano 5. Ely R. 10. Ferreira 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 53. Gustavo Martins 11. Joao Pedro 7. Luan 14. Nathan 23. Pepe	27. Alesson 70. Anderson Oliveira 22. Apodi 18. Breno Herculano 43. Edu 5. Guzzo R. 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 9. Matheus Babi 17. Pedro Junqueira 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 4. Sidimar
Coaches
Renato Portaluppi	Henrique M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2.

Recent matches Grêmio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goiás is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is certain favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Felipe Scheibig (Injury) Mila (Injury) Pedro Geromel (Injury) Pepe (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Bruno Santos (Injury) Sander (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
26.11.23	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Grêmio - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
09.11.23	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	3:4 ✺
04.11.23	Grêmio - Bahia	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Coritiba - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
27.11.23	Goiás - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	2:1 ✺
09.11.23	Goiás - Santos	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Coritiba - Goiás	0:1 ✺
02.11.23	Goiás - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
30.07.23	Goiás - Grêmio	1:1
12.12.20	Goiás - Grêmio	0:0
30.11.20	Grêmio - Goiás	2:1
08.12.19	Goiás - Grêmio	3:2
15.09.19	Grêmio - Goiás	3:0
Copa do Brasil
09.05.18	Grêmio - Goiás	3:1
25.04.18	Goiás - Grêmio	0:2

Upcoming Matches