Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 30

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:30	Flow Eventos
Austria	22:30	DAZN
Brazil	17:30	Globoplay, NSC TV, Premiere
Ecuador	15:30	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	22:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
Paraguay	17:30	Flow Eventos
Switzerland	22:30	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	17:30	Flow
Usa	16:30	Fanatiz
International	20:30	OneFootball TV


	Grêmio		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.90	3.10	2.50
	2.85	3	2.52	Watch
	3.01	3.17	2.66
	2.93	3.21	2.54	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.6
	3.02	3.16	2.54	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.35)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	2.54 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grêmio
32.4%

Draw
30.2%

Internacional RS
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Grêmio - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Internacional (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weverton (G) 27. Diego Caito 82. Wallace 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 23. Marlon 10. Krovinovic F. 15. Danilo Barbosa 20. Villasanti M. 7. Pavon C. 95. Carlos Vinicius 9. Amuzu F.	12. Anthoni (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. 18. Juninho 35. Aguirre B. 5. Villagra R. 29. Thiago Maia 26. Bernabei A. 28. Vitinho 9. Alerrandro 10. Alan Patrick (C)
Substitutes
22. Braithwaite M. 38. Caio Paulista 99. Enamorado J. 2. Fabian Balbuena 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 6. Gustavo Martins 18. Joao Pedro 14. Marcos Rocha 5. Nardoni J. 8. Noriega E. 54. Pedro Gabriel 11. Tete 3. Wagner Leonardo	8. Bruno Henrique 30. Calebe 7. Carbonero J. 17. Eliasson N. 49. Joao Bezerra 44. Joao Victor 6. Matheus Bahia 23. Matheus Cunha (G) 27. Paulinho Paula 16. Ronaldo 4. Torres F. 41. Victor Gabriel
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Alan Patrick 🟨,
27', Villagra R. 🟨,
29', Villasanti M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Alerrandro (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alan Patrick ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
53', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
60', Alerrandro ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
62', Villasanti M. ↓, Braithwaite M. ↑,
62', Diego Caito ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
65', Amuzu F. 🟨,
69', Thiago Maia ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Wallace ⚽,
85', Bernabei A. ↓, Matheus Bahia ↑,
85', Aguirre B. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
86', Danilo Barbosa ↓, Gustavo Martins ↑,
86', Amuzu F. ↓, Tete ↑,
87', Marlon ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Serie B and 17th in the Relegation - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.

Grêmio is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Internacional have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Grêmio: Cabral J. (Inactive) Diego Caito (Health problems) Dodi (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Muscle Injury) Matheus Nascimento (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Internacional: Kayky (Ankle Injury) Rochet S. (Lower Back Injury) Sanabria A. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Internacional: Juninho (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Grêmio has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grêmio against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	33:40	-7	32
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34:44	-10	31

Last Results with these Odds

Internacional RS - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.26	Remo - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Grêmio - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Vitória Salvador - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.26	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	São Paulo - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Internacional RS - Santos	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
03.09.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
03.09.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	3:1
27.08.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1
01.03.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	3:0
25.01.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	4:2
Brazilian Serie A
21.09.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	2:3

Upcoming Matches