Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Netherlands	ESPN


	Grêmio		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.34	4.8	8.75
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.33	5.18	9.6
	1.33	5.18	8.86
	1.29	4.8	8.5	Watch
	1.33	5.22	9.16	Watch
	1.3	5	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.11)	5.05 ↓ (8.42)	9.02 ↓ (25.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
71%

Draw
18.6%

The Strongest
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.1%

11.2%

3.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting The Strongest's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	6.2%	43.7%

Grêmio - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). The Strongest will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 18. Joao Pedro 5. Rodrigo Ely 4. Walter Kannemann 6. Reinaldo 23. Pepe 17. Dodi 13. Everton Galdino 10. Cristaldo F. 7. Soteldo Y. 19. Costa D.	13. Viscarra G. (G) 15. Caire M. 3. Aimar D. 5. Jusino A. 21. Quaglio F. 6. Quiroga A. 8. Ursino L. 7. Amoroso J. 10. Ortega M. 18. Ramallo R. 11. Triverio E.
Substitutes
31. Caique (G) 8. Carballo F. 37. Du Queiroz 2. Fabio 53. Gustavo Martins 39. Gustavo Nunes 11. Joao Pedro 36. Nata 14. Nathan 32. Nathan Fernandes 35. Ronald 46. Ze Guilherme	22. Bruno Miranda 9. Bryan Angulo 12. Careaga J. (G) 23. Chura J. 16. Cuellar V. 4. Enoumba M. 1. Gutierrez J. (G) 17. Lopez L. 19. Roca C. 2. Rojas D.
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Rescalvo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Soteldo Y. ⚽, Costa D. (A),
16', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
28', Aimar D. 🟨,
37', Jusino A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Pepe (A),
53', Quiroga A. 🟨,
67', 3 - 0, Everton Galdino ⚽,
69', Everton Galdino ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
69', Soteldo Y. ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
69', Walter Kannemann ↓, Carballo F. ↑,
74', Ramallo R. ↓, Chura J. ↑,
74', Ortega M. ↓, Bruno Miranda ↑,
80', Costa D. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
81', Cristaldo F. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
84', Amoroso J. ↓, Enoumba M. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Gustavo Nunes ⚽,
90', Aimar D. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,

Preview

The Strongest is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Grêmio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The Strongest in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Copa do Brasil
30.04.24	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.24	Bahia - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.24	Grêmio - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
17.04.24	Grêmio - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWWW
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.05.24	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	0:1 ✺
23.05.24	The Strongest - Guabirá	3:2 ✺
19.05.24	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	The Strongest - Huachipato	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.05.24	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.04.24	The Strongest - Grêmio	2:0

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