Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Granada		Napoli

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.3
	3.25	3.2	2.35
	3.3	3.3	2.3
	3.15	3.1	2.32
	3.28	3.22	2.4
	3.2	3.2	2.3
	3.24	3.32	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.31)	3.22 ↓ (3.46)	2.34 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
29.5%

Draw
29.7%

Napoli
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

21.4%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	21.2%	52.9%

Granada - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 85 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 22 - 25.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 45 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 42.3% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Granada was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (24%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Napoli was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (76%), has a chance of qtrs (44%), has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Napoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Napoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
13.02.21	Granada - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
06.02.21	Levante - Granada	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.02.21	Granada - Barcelona	3:5 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.21	Granada - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.01.21	Navalcarnero - Granada	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLTW
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
13.02.21	Napoli - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.21	Atalanta - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.02.21	Genoa - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.02.21	Napoli - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
31.01.21	Napoli - Parma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLTW

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