Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 37

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Rojas J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Granada		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	2	Watch
	3.7	3.5	2
	3.6	3.5	2.1	Watch
	4.07	3.43	2.09
	4.03	3.32	2.09
	3.9	3.3	2
	3.87	3.56	2.04	Watch
	3.7	3.5	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.77)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	2.04 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
25.1%

Draw
27.9%

Celta de Vigo
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.1%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granada's form might have worsened.

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celta de Vigo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Granada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celta de Vigo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.7%	11.8%	73.5%

Granada - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Celta will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 58.7% – 88.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martinez M. (G) 2. Bruno Mendez 4. Rubio M. 28. Torrente R. 15. Neva C. (C) 19. Pellistri F. 20. Ruiz S. 6. Hongla M. 23. Gumbau G. 26. Rodelas S. 7. Boye L.	25. Guaita V. (G) 22. Manquillo J. 2. Starfelt C. 16. Jailson 3. Mingueza O. 5. Tapia R. 30. Sotelo H. 14. de la Torre L. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Larsen J. S. 33. Alvarez H.
Substitutes
8. Arezo M. 25. Batalla A. (G) 9. Callejon J. 17. Corbeanu T. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Maouassa F. 21. Melendo O. 22. Piatkowski K. 10. Puertas A. 12. Sanchez R. 24. Villar G.	9. Allende T. 17. Bamba J. 8. Beltran F. 28. Dominguez C. 12. Douvikas A. 4. Nunez U. 34. Rodriguez D. 24. Rodriguez M. 23. Sanchez M. 19. Swedberg W. 20. Vazquez K. 13. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Sandoval J.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tapia R. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
46', de la Torre L. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
60', Rodelas S. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Sotelo H. (A),
63', 0 - 2, Bamba J. ⚽, Larsen J. S. (A),
65', Larsen J. S. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
66', Bruno Mendez 🟨,
68', Sotelo H. 🟨,
72', Torrente R. 🟨,
74', Hongla M. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
74', Torrente R. ↓, Piatkowski K. ↑,
79', Sotelo H. ↓, Nunez U. ↑,
85', Starfelt C. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Bruno Mendez ⚽,
90', Pellistri F. ↓, Puertas A. ↑,
90', Bruno Mendez ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
90+7', Puertas A. (Pen),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 16).

Granada is Relegated to LaLiga2

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 0.

Granada is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Celta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Celta will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Granada: Fernandez R. (Wrist Injury) Jozwiak K. (Knee Injury) Miquel I. (Injury) Uzuni M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vallejo J. (Personal Reasons)

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cervi F. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Ankle Injury) Ristic M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Granada: Batalla A. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Granada won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
15.05.24	Rayo Vallecano - Granada	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Granada - Real Madrid	0:4 ✺
05.05.24	Sevilla - Granada	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Granada - Osasuna	3:0 ✺
19.04.24	Athletic Bilbao - Granada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLLWT
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
15.05.24	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	3:2 ✺
27.04.24	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
16.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Granada	1:0
01.05.22	Granada - Celta de Vigo	1:1
27.09.21	Celta de Vigo - Granada	1:0
31.01.21	Granada - Celta de Vigo	0:0
29.11.20	Celta de Vigo - Granada	3:1
29.02.20	Granada - Celta de Vigo	0:0
15.09.19	Celta de Vigo - Granada	0:2

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