Match Info

Date: 28 January 2021, Thursday


	Navalcarnero		Granada

	1	X	2
	11	4	1.33	Watch
	8.75	4.5	1.36	Watch
	9.4	4.5	1.38
	8.2	4.4	1.37
	9.22	4.43	1.4
	9	4.6	1.36
	8.4	4.75	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.14 ↑ (7.15)	4.45 ↑ (3.8)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
10.3%

Draw
21.1%

Granada
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

24.7%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

13.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Granada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-35.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Granada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.7%	13.5%	56.8%

Navalcarnero - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Navalcarnero will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). Granada will win (votes: 21 - 56.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 40.8% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Navalcarnero is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Granada is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Navalcarnero have a series of home games.

In this match Granada is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.01.21	Las Rozas - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
20.01.21	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.21	Navalcarnero - Eibar	3:1 ✺
06.01.21	Navalcarnero - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
17.12.20	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LTWWW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
24.01.21	Osasuna - Granada	3:1 ✺
20.01.21	Villarreal - Granada	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.21	Málaga - Granada	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.21	Granada - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
09.01.21	Granada - Barcelona	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWWL

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