Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Granada		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.4	3	3.2
	2.35	3.1	3.4
	2.39	3.12	3.5
	2.39	3.12	3.46
	2.38	3.1	3.2
	2.46	3.23	3.35	Watch
	2.41	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.71)	3.1 ↓ (3.17)	3.35 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
40.3%

Draw
31%

Osasuna
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Granada - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Osasuna will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Batalla A. (G) 2. Bruno Mendez 4. Rubio M. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 19. Pellistri F. 23. Gumbau G. 20. Ruiz S. 18. Jozwiak K. 7. Boye L. 11. Uzuni M.	1. Herrera S. (C) 12. Areso J. 24. Catena A. 28. Herrando J. 22. Mojica J. 7. Moncayola J. 34. Munoz I. 16. Gomez M. 14. Garcia R. 23. Garcia R. 15. Pena R.
Substitutes
8. Arezo M. 9. Callejon J. 17. Corbeanu T. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Hongla M. 3. Maouassa F. 13. Martinez M. (G) 21. Melendo O. 22. Piatkowski K. 12. Sanchez R. 24. Villar G.	20. Arnaiz J. M. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Garcia U. 19. Ibanez P. 32. Stamatakis D. (G) 6. Torro L.
Coaches
Sandoval J.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Boye L. 🟨,
23', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Pellistri F. ⚽, Ruiz S. (A),
32', Ruiz S. 🟨,
37', Rubio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Uzuni M. ⚽, Jozwiak K. (A),
55', Garcia R. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,
55', Moncayola J. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
72', Pena R. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
73', Munoz I. ↓, Torro L. ↑,
74', Ruiz S. ↓, Hongla M. ↑,
74', Uzuni M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
80', Pellistri F. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
80', Jozwiak K. ↓, Callejon J. ↑,
82', Mojica J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
90', Rubio M. ↓, Piatkowski K. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Boye L. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Granada won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
19.04.24	Athletic Bilbao - Granada	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Granada - Valencia	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mallorca - Granada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWLLL
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
20.04.24	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Osasuna - Valencia	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Almería - Osasuna	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Osasuna - Real Madrid	2:4 ✺
09.03.24	Girona - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.10.23	Osasuna - Granada	2:0
23.01.22	Granada - Osasuna	0:2
22.10.21	Osasuna - Granada	1:1
24.01.21	Osasuna - Granada	3:1
12.01.21	Granada - Osasuna	2:0
23.02.20	Osasuna - Granada	0:3
18.10.19	Granada - Osasuna	1:0

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