Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Granada		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.75
	1.8	3.4	5
	1.85	3.35	4.75
	1.83	3.3	4.5
	1.85	3.43	4.9
	1.8	3.25	5
	1.85	3.44	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.59)	3.37 ↓ (3.94)	4.86 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
52.1%

Draw
28.3%

PAOK
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granada's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Granada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.3%	9.6%	18.1%

Granada - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 68 - 72.3%). PAOK will win (votes: 17 - 18.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 63.3% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Granada has a good chance of round of 32 (93%), has a good chance of round of 16 (53%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

PAOK has a chance of round of 32 (44%), has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Granada in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches PAOK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Granada have a series of guest games.

In this match Granada is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.20	Getafe - Granada	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	PSV Eindhoven - Granada	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.20	Granada - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Cádiz - Granada	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Malmö - Granada	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WWWTW
- PAOK FC
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	PAOK - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
18.10.20	AEK Athens - PAOK	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	PAOK - OFI	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.20	PAOK - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
26.09.20	Volos - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTWLT

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