The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Granada 17.9%
Draw 21.6%
Real Madrid 60.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.8%
17.7%
70.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.6%
17.4%
71.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.
Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Granada - Real Madrid Predictions
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.77% โ 93.03%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Batalla A. (G) 2. Bruno Mendez 22. Piatkowski K. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 19. Pellistri F. 20. Ruiz S. 23. Gumbau G. 18. Jozwiak K. 7. Boye L. 11. Uzuni M.
1. Courtois T. (G) 17. Lucas 3. Militao E. 22. Rudiger A. 20. Garcia F. 10. Modric L. (C) 12. Camavinga E. 19. Ceballos D. 24. Guler A. 14. Joselu 21. Diaz B.
Substitutes
8. Arezo M. 9. Callejon J. 17. Corbeanu T. 6. Hongla M. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Maouassa F. 13. Martinez M. (G) 21. Melendo O. 12. Sanchez R. 28. Torrente R. 24. Villar G.
25. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 5. Bellingham J. 2. Carvajal D. 6. Fernandez N. 8. Kroos T. 13. Lunin A. (G) 23. Mendy F. 11. Rodrygo 15. Valverde F. 7. Vinicius Junior
Coaches
Sandoval J.
Ancelotti C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Boye L. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,
45', Gumbau G. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Guler A. ⚽, Garcia F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jozwiak K. ↓, Callejon J. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Diaz B. ⚽, Ceballos D. (A),
53', Gumbau G. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
54', Ruiz S. ↓, Hongla M. ↑,
59', 0 - 4, Diaz B. ⚽, Modric L. (A),
70', Modric L. ↓, Kroos T. ↑,
70', Rudiger A. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
74', Bruno Mendez ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
81', Uzuni M. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).
Real is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Group Stage )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 0.
Recent matches Granada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Real is a favorite.
There will not play in Granada: Puertas A.
(Contusion)
Rubio M.
(Yellow Cards)
Vallejo J.
(Personal Reasons)
There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Knee Injury)
Tchouameni A.
(Leg Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Granada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 9-50.
Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6-23.
Africa
Australia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Bulgaria
Croatia
Cyprus
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Poland
Romania
Slovenia
Sweden
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Batalla A. (G) 
Bruno Mendez 
Piatkowski K. 
Miquel I. 
Uzuni M. 
Courtois T. (G) 
Militao E. 
Rudiger A. 
Modric L. (C) 
Camavinga E. 
Guler A. 
Diaz B. 
Corbeanu T. 
Hongla M. 
Bellingham J. 
Lunin A. (G) 
Ancelotti C. 
