Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lechner H. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Belgium	21:00	VOOsport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV4
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Villarreal		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.25
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.25	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.34	3.6	2.9
	2.19	3.69	3.33
	2.3	3.6	2.9
	2.26	3.55	3.13
	2.28	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	3.1 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
42.5%

Draw
26.6%

Rennes
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal's form might have worsened.

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rennes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rennes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.5%	19.4%	16.1%

Villarreal - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). Rennes will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reina P. (G) 17. Kiko 23. Mandi A. 2. Gabbia M. 18. Moreno A. 6. Capoue E. 10. Parejo D. 16. Baena A. 14. Trigueros M. (C) 21. Pino Y. 11. Sorloth A.	30. Mandanda S. (G) 17. Doue G. 23. Omari W. 5. Theate A. 3. Truffert A. 14. Bourigeaud B. (C) 8. Santamaria B. 33. Doue D. 11. Blas L. 99. Yildirim B. 34. Salah I.
Substitutes
27. Akhomach I. 3. Albiol R. 26. Altimira A. 9. Brereton Diaz B. 4. Comesana S. 5. Cuenca J. 13. Jorgensen F. (G) 15. Morales J. L. 24. Pedraza A. 20. Terrats R.	22. Assignon L. 16. Belocian J. 1. Gallon G. (G) 10. Gouiri A. 38. Jaouab M. 9. Kalimuendo A. 28. Le Fee E. 40. Lembet G. (G) 21. Matic N. 32. Rieder F. 7. Terrier M. 15. Wooh C.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Genesio B.

Preview

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rennes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Villarreal: Coquelin F. (Knee Injury) Suarez D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Le Fee E. (Shoulder Injury) Terrier M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Injury) Moreno G. (Calf Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
30.09.23	Getafe - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
27.09.23	Villarreal - Girona	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Panathinaikos - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Villarreal - Almería	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTLW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
01.10.23	Rennes - Nantes	3:1 ✺
24.09.23	Montpellier - Rennes	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Rennes - Maccabi Haifa	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.09.23	Rennes - Lille	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Brest - Rennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	✺
- Stade Rennes
UEFA Europa League
04.11.26	Rennes - Olympiacos Piraeus	✺
French Ligue 1
30.10.26	Nice - Rennes	✺

Villarreal - Rennes