Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Scotland	BBC Scotland


	Greenock Morton		Hearts

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.5
	5.5	4.1	1.46
	6	4.33	1.5
	6.11	4.3	1.52
	6.11	4.24	1.52
	6.09	4.45	1.48
	5.8	4.2	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.94 ↑ (4.98)	4.28 ↑ (4)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
15.7%

Draw
21.8%

Hearts
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.4%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.1%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Greenock Morton - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: Hearts will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mullen R. (G) 4. O'Connor D. 5. Baird J. 15. Broadfoot K. 26. French T. 8. Blues C. 20. Power A. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 3. Strapp L. 9. Muirhead R. 14. Crawford R.	1. Gordon C. (G) 81. Lembikisa D. 21. Sibbick T. 15. Rowles K. 3. Kingsley S. 77. Vargas K. 6. Baningime B. 7. Grant J. 14. Devlin C. 17. Forrest A. 9. Shankland L. (C)
Substitutes
19. Bearne J. 18. Garrity M. 17. McGrattan L. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 6. Waters C.	13. Atkinson N. 28. Clark Z. (G) 19. Cochrane A. 22. Denholm A. 47. Mcluckie B. 39. Sandilands C. 30. Tagawa K. 25. Tait M. 54. Wilson J.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Naismith S.

Preview

Recent matches Greenock is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hearts is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Greenock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hearts is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Greenock won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Greenock won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
05.03.24	Greenock Morton - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Greenock Morton - Inverness	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWT
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
03.03.24	Hearts - Celtic	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Hearts - Hibernian	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	5:0 ✺
17.02.24	Hearts - Motherwell	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
11.02.24	Airdrieonians - Hearts	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
20.04.21	Greenock Morton - Hearts	0:0
20.02.21	Hearts - Greenock Morton	1:1
05.12.20	Greenock Morton - Hearts	0:2

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