Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Greuther Fürth		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.37	Watch
	3	3.4	2.35
	2.85	3.3	2.45
	3.01	3.5	2.47
	2.88	3.4	2.4
	2.99	3.58	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.41)	3.43 ↓ (3.67)	2.42 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
32.7%

Draw
27.8%

Augsburg
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.3%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.1%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Augsburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greuther Fürth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Augsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greuther Fürth - Augsburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (84.04%), has project points - 19, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Augsburg has the most likely position - 16 (15.7%), has project points - 37, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fürth is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Augsburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fürth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fürth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German Bundesliga
15.12.21	Borussia Dortmund - Greuther Fürth	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Greuther Fürth - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Greuther Fürth	7:1 ✺
27.11.21	Greuther Fürth - Hoffenheim	3:6 ✺
20.11.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Greuther Fürth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
15.12.21	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
10.12.21	Köln - Augsburg	0:2 ✺
04.12.21	Augsburg - Bochum	2:3 ✺
27.11.21	Hertha Berlin - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
19.11.21	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.21	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	Canceled
13.07.19	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	1:0
25.01.15	Greuther Fürth - Augsburg	1:2
18.01.14	Greuther Fürth - Augsburg	0:2
13.07.13	Greuther Fürth - Augsburg	2:1
German Bundesliga
18.05.13	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	3:1
15.12.12	Greuther Fürth - Augsburg	1:1

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