Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Greuther Fürth		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.67	Watch
	4.25	3.95	1.7
	4.72	4.21	1.74
	4.36	4.11	1.72	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.67
	4.53	4.03	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (4.25)	4.02 ↑ (3.95)	1.7 (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
21.1%

Draw
23.5%

Elversberg
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

23.5%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23.2%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	19%	57.1%

Greuther Fürth - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Elversberg will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Fürth (4.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Elversberg (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fürth (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Elversberg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Prufrock S. (G) 23. Dehm J. 15. Elvedi J. 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 13. Will P. 33. Dietz M. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 7. Srbeny D. 47. Ltaief S. 9. Futkeu N.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
28. Arifi D. 25. Bjarnason B. 26. Boevink P. (G) 14. Consbruch J. 11. Dardari A. 18. Higl F. 27. Itter G. 16. Keller A. 2. Reich L.	15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 10. Conte B. 43. Keidel F. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L.
Coaches
Vogel H.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Hrgota B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
60', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
65', Srbeny D. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
69', Petkov L. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
71', Gyamerah J. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
76', Pherai I. 🟨,
83', Poreba L. 🟨,
83', Dietz M. 🟨,
84', Hrgota B. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
84', Gunther L. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
90+2', Ltaief S. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
90+2', Dietz M. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Reich L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Fürth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elversberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Elversberg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Ankle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Schlieck T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fürth: Futkeu N. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.26	Hannover - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kaiserslautern - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTWLL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.03.26	Elversberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.25	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	6:0
15.02.25	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	2:0
15.09.24	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	0:0
10.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	1:4
01.10.23	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	1:1

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