Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Greuther Fürth		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.25	1.33	Watch
	8.25	5.25	1.35	Watch
	9.5	5.4	1.32
	8.8	5.4	1.31
	9.64	5.62	1.34
	9	5.25	1.32	Watch
	9.8	5.65	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.21 ↑ (7.74)	5.4 ↑ (4.98)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
10.4%

Draw
17.7%

RB Leipzig
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

19%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

16.6%

78.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	0.8%	82.1%

Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (101 of 123 users predict this - 82.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.34% – 88.88%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (95.56%), has project points - 21, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

RB Leipzig has the most likely position - 4 (31.81%), has project points - 58, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (58%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 64, importance 48, match rating 56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Fürth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RB Leipzig is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently RB Leipzig have a series of guest games.

In this match RB Leipzig is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German Bundesliga
05.03.22	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Greuther Fürth - Köln	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Bayern Munich - Greuther Fürth	4:1 ✺
12.02.22	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Wolfsburg - Greuther Fürth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWL
- RB Leipzig
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	RB Leipzig - Spartak Moscow	RB Leipzig walkover ✺
German Bundesliga
05.03.22	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.03.22	Hannover - RB Leipzig	0:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.02.22	Bochum - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.02.22	Real Sociedad - RB Leipzig	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?TWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.10.21	RB Leipzig - Greuther Fürth	4:1
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.15	Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig	1:2
03.08.15	RB Leipzig - Greuther Fürth	2:2
24.05.15	RB Leipzig - Greuther Fürth	2:0
12.12.14	Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig	0:1

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