Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Real Sociedad		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.45
	2.75	3.4	2.45
	2.9	3.5	2.45
	2.95	3.35	2.39
	2.99	3.39	2.51
	2.9	3.3	2.4
	2.98	3.5	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.41)	3.42 ↓ (3.59)	2.45 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
33%

Draw
27.9%

RB Leipzig
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

18.8%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	25%	53.9%

Real Sociedad - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 16 - 21.1%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 41 - 53.9%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 42.7% – 65.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Real Sociedad has a chance of round of 16 (42%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

RB Leipzig has a good chance of round of 16 (58%), has a chance of qtrs (46%), has a chance of semis (30%), has a chance of final (19%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

This event has big quality 78, very big importance 100, big match rating 89. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RB Leipzig is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
20.02.22	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	RB Leipzig - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.02.22	Real Sociedad - Granada	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.02.22	Real Sociedad - Betis	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWTL
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
20.02.22	Hertha Berlin - RB Leipzig	1:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	RB Leipzig - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.02.22	RB Leipzig - Köln	3:1 ✺
05.02.22	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	3:2 ✺
23.01.22	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	RB Leipzig - Real Sociedad	2:2

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