Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Northampton Town		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.8
	2	3.2	3.8
	2	3.3	3.75
	2.06	3.25	4.13
	2.05	3.1	3.9
	2.03	3.22	3.94	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.11)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
46.3%

Draw
29.2%

Grimsby Town
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

31%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Northampton Town - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Northampton has the most likely position - 3 (20%), has project points - 79, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (45%), has a good chance of promoted (51%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Grimsby has the most likely position - 18 (11.94%), has project points - 55, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 10, importance 38, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Grimsby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Northampton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League Two
14.02.23	Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Rochdale - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Northampton Town - Walsall	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Barrow - Northampton Town	0:2 ✺
14.01.23	Stockport County - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTWL
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
14.02.23	Gillingham - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.23	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
04.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.23	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.08.22	Grimsby Town - Northampton Town	1:1
29.02.20	Grimsby Town - Northampton Town	0:3
23.11.19	Northampton Town - Grimsby Town	2:0
16.03.19	Grimsby Town - Northampton Town	0:0
24.11.18	Northampton Town - Grimsby Town	2:2
English FA Cup
07.12.13	Grimsby Town - Northampton Town	2:0

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